Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010780 0.013053 0.015909 0.019851 0.025300 0.032813 0.044438
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008415 0.011135 0.015042 0.021396 0.032219 0.051695 0.095181
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006874 0.009576 0.013785 0.021396 0.036427 0.069912 0.176550
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005825 0.008412 0.012679 0.021031 0.039600 0.089582 0.322306
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004909 0.007247 0.011244 0.019480 0.039332 0.100787 0.501830
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004290 0.006456 0.010279 0.018532 0.039994 0.116539 0.871396
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003900 0.005989 0.009802 0.018457 0.042982 0.146957 2.125162
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003645 0.005715 0.009629 0.019011 0.048302 0.202312 10.925356
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003386 0.005396 0.009304 0.019093 0.052273 0.265909 319.223687
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003091 0.004975 0.008699 0.018285 0.052523 0.306299 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002873 0.004675 0.008304 0.017939 0.054529 0.378679 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002781 0.004605 0.008394 0.018981 0.063694 0.627058 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002688 0.004545 0.008548 0.020476 0.078479 1.394129 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002597 0.004482 0.008697 0.022100 0.098168 4.426729 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002437 0.004254 0.008401 0.022099 0.107640 11.593022 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002280 0.004014 0.008036 0.021717 0.114067 36.154383 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002089 0.003685 0.007396 0.020097 0.107198 45.727021 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001943 0.003440 0.006947 0.019107 0.105570 105.978937 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001847 0.003296 0.006742 0.019029 0.113582 39916.218479 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001784 0.003218 0.006698 0.019607 0.131206 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001709 0.003107 0.006550 0.019693 0.144009 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001611 0.002936 0.006214 0.018849 0.142028 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001535 0.002812 0.005997 0.018489 0.147461 NaN NaN